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As global supply chains realign and emerging economies assert new priorities, Indonesia export to India is entering a pivotal chapter. Despite a 14.54% decline in Indonesian exports to India in Q1 2025, a dip shaped by regulatory shifts and commodity price pressures, the core architecture of this trade relationship remains structurally sound.
What matters now is not just what Indonesia exports, but how its evolving trade strategy intersects with India’s demand for energy, infrastructure inputs, and industrial resilience.
This deep dive by TradeInt unpacks the top-performing product groups, key demand drivers, and emerging shifts to watch in one of Asia’s most strategically aligned trade corridors.
In Q1 2025, the top 5 Indonesia exports to India were led by coal briquettes (30.74%), followed by palm oil (19.22%), stainless steel (4.87%), copper ore and concentrate (4.78%), and jewelry including gold and silverware (4.24%). Coal remained the largest export despite softer demand as India expanded local output, while palm oil shipments rebounded with tariffs reductions and rising Indian demand.
| Product | Share (%) | Key Notes | Top HS Codes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coal, briquettes | 30.74 | Exports softened as India boosted its coal output and sourced more from other countries. Coal remains Indonesia’s largest export to India, but faces value pressure from global oversupply and price declines. | |
| Palm oil | 19.22 | Exports rebounded due to restored price competitiveness and India’s tariff reductions on palm oil imports. Indonesia supplies seeds and products to meet strong Indian demand. | |
| Stainless steel | 4.87 | Indonesia’s steel shipments to India grew as Indian demand outpaced local production, though future trade may face headwinds from Indian policies. | |
| Copper ore and concentrate | 4.78 | Exports to India are set to drop sharply with Indonesia’s 2025 ban on copper concentrate exports to promote domestic processing. | |
| Jewelry, gold, and silverware | 4.24 | Category remains stable, supporting India’s major jewelry industry and consumer market for precious metals. | |
| Others | 36.15 | — |
Data source: www.tradeint.com
Coal remains Indonesia’s largest export to India, with $6.327 billion in trade value in 2024, making up 30.74% of total exports. But 2025 brought a structural test: an 11-million-ton YoY drop in exports triggered by India’s domestic coal push and Indonesia’s introduction of a minimum reference price (HBA), pegged at ~$128/ton, well above the global benchmark.
Why it still matters:
Due to the high export volume, there is a large number of companies specializing in importing coal and briquettes from Indonesia into India.
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2025 developments:
Outlook: Despite these short-term headwinds, coal remains integral to India’s industrial roadmap. Indonesia continues to dominate India’s thermal coal imports, although competition from cheaper markets like Australia and domestic Indian production may pressure volumes.
Palm oil, Indonesia’s second-largest export to India (19.22%), sits at the crossroads of food policy and clean energy transition. India imports 23–25 million tons annually, with palm oil accounting for over a third of its edible oil consumption.
| Category | Share (%) | Top 3 Indonesian Exporters (H1 2025) |
|---|---|---|
| Palm oil | 37 | 🔒 Unlock data 🔒 Unlock data Sari Dumai Sejati |
| Soybean oil | 21 | 🔒 Unlock data 🔒 Unlock data |
| Mustard oil | 14 | 🔒 Unlock data 🔒 Unlock data |
| Sunflower oil | 12 | 🔒 Unlock data 🔒 Unlock data |
Data source: CNBC and www.tradeint.com
Sector penetration:
2025 Challenges and Projections:
While export volumes may not surge, consistent demand from India’s food processing, retail, and biofuel sectors will continue to anchor palm oil as a strategic export commodity.
India’s robust demand for palm oil has been evident in its steadily rising
💡 If you’re only seeing surface stability, or you’re curious how demand is quietly reshaping trade, you may want to explore India’s palm oil import export trend here.
With India’s industrial ambitions expanding, stainless steel has become a quiet powerhouse in bilateral trade, $6B+ of annual demand and counting. Indonesia’s stainless steel exports (4.87% share) are strategically placed to serve that need.
Use cases across industries:
Which countries are directly competing with Indonesia in the export of stainless steel to India?
🔍 Find out with TradeInt’s global trade record database on India’s steel import landscape
Supply-Side advantage:
Outlook: Indonesia’s stainless steel capacity growth will help supply India’s construction boom, while also enabling more value-added downstream products in future trade.
Copper’s role in India’s clean energy transition, from solar panels to electric motors, cannot be overstated. With 4.78% of exports from Indonesia focused on copper ore and concentrate, this segment is both strategically important and geopolitically sensitive.
Sectors driving demand in India:
Due to this policy, companies trading this product may encounter significant challenges in expanding their businesses.
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2025 Policy Disruption:
Indian Demand Pillars:
Future outlook:
Copper will remain essential to India’s energy and infrastructure growth. TradeInt recommends monitoring policy adjustments and developing partnerships with Indonesian producers investing in domestic smelting.
The last major product category in Indonesia export to India is precious metals and jewelry, particularly gold and silver items. This group ranked fifth with a notable value of $0.860 billion, representing over 4.2% of the total figure.
Despite its rather moderate share, this category supports India’s development as one of the world’s leading hubs for jewelry manufacturing. Indonesia is expected to have the fastest compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in its jewelry market between 2023 and 2028. This growth rate is projected to outpace that of larger economies like China and the United States, even though Indonesia had the smallest jewelry market among the three in 2023.
The positive outlook and predicted strong growth of India’s jewelry industry is likely to drive the upward trajectory of Indonesia’s export value and volume in this category.
| Country | Market size – 2023 (INR billion) | CAGR (2021–2023) | CAGR (2023–2028) |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | 5,562 | 12–14% | 11–13% |
| China | 9,600 | 2–4% | 5–7% |
| The US | 5,900 | 1–2% | 2–4% |
Data source: Redseer Strategy Consultants
Growth factors for Indonesian exports:
Outlook: Indonesia’s value added exports in this sector, especially processed, branded and design forward items, are expected to grow in tandem with India’s global positioning in jewelry production.
TradeInt is a global trade data platform providing access to over 10 billion verified import and export records. Its coverage spans over 200 countries and more than 80 customs data sources.
This article provides a snapshot of Indonesia’s exports to India. Use TradeInt to explore more detailed trade records and continue tracking this market as new data becomes available. Search Indonesia India export records →
Q1 2025’s 14.54% dip in exports tells a short-term story. The long-term narrative is the alignment between Indonesia’s value-added export ambitions and India’s multi-sector demand.
What’s shaping this corridor:
Bilateral intent: The $50B trade target by end-2025 is not just rhetoric. It’s already shaping investment and supply chain choices.
In a volatile global economy, staying informed on trade flow shifts, tariffs changes, pricing trends, and active suppliers/importers can mean the difference between capturing or losing market share.
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